New Jersey Primary Poll Shows Outsider Candidates Leading Key Races

May 2025 — New Jersey — With less than a month until the primary elections, new polling shows that a slate of strong, reform-minded candidates are leading across several critical races. Voters appear to be favoring real-world experience, accountability, and leadership over career politicians and establishment figures.

Republican Gubernatorial Primary Poll

Bill Spadea – 49%

Jack Ciattarelli – 35%

John Bramnick – 12%

Undecided – 4%

Bill Spadea, a U.S. Marine veteran and conservative radio personality, has surged ahead in the Republican primary thanks to his grassroots message focused on parental rights, cutting taxes, and reducing government overreach. His plainspoken, pro-freedom platform has resonated deeply with working-class conservatives across the state.

Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Poll

Steven Fulop – 38%

Mikie Sherrill – 26%

Josh Gottheimer – 19%

Ras Baraka – 10%

Undecided – 7%

Steven Fulop, the Marine veteran and Jersey City Mayor, leads the crowded Democratic field with a message centered on urban revitalization, responsible growth, and good governance. As Mayor, Fulop transformed Jersey City into one of the state’s strongest economic centers, earning him broad support among both progressives and moderates.

Democratic Assembly Primary – District 33

Tony Hector – 36%

Frank Alonso – 34%

Gabe Rodriguez (Incumbent) – 20%

Larry Wainstein – 5%

Undecided – 5%

Tony Hector and Frank Alonso lead the Democratic Assembly primary in District 33 with a bold reform agenda. Hector, a well-known public safety advocate, has earned strong support from first responders and local unions. Alonso, a military veteran and Hudson County Director of Weights and Measures, brings a fresh perspective on economic opportunity and government transparency. Together, they are both running on a ticket of accountability and action and committed to exposing and ending corruption in the state of New Jersey government.

Democratic Primary for Hudson County Sheriff

Frank Schillari – 53%

Jimmy Davis – 38%

Undecided – 9%

Frank Schillari, the current Hudson County Sheriff, is seeking re-election with strong support from law enforcement and the public alike. Known for modernizing the Sheriff’s Department and maintaining close ties to the community, Schillari is comfortably ahead of challenger and Bayonne Mayor Jimmy Davis, whose campaign has struggled to gain traction.